October 26, 2014 at 5:16 pm

October 27th through November 2nd Forecast Outlook

by



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The forecast outlook for October 27th through November 2nd will feature a mixed bag of weather from above average temperatures in spots, to rain in others.  Continue on for the details.

The beginning to middle part of the week will have a brief weak offshore flow pattern into the Southern California area, all part in due to the storm that hit the Pacific Northwest.  This generally brings an offshore flow a day later in our area as the flow remains unfavorable for precipitation.  Southern California Weather Force.com maps clearly show above average temperatures for most metro areas.  However, toward the end of the week a front comes in and knocks the temperatures back down to average and a bit below average for this time of year.  All and all it evens out to bringing cooler than normal temperatures for the Kern County Valley areas of the San Joaquin Valley and slightly above for Santa Barbara to San Luis Obispo Counties.

A front is expected to enter Southern California toward the weekend.  Exact timing and details are not known at the time.  But, indications are that this type of front will drop at least some rainfall into the area, with more rainfall west of the Inland Empire and Los Angeles and weakening as it moves in.  For this time of year, we will see much above average precipitation for that day for Los Angeles County westward and above for the metros of Orange, San Diego, the Inland Empire, and some High Desert regions.  The Colorado River Valley areas and Eastern Southern California Deserts will see much less chances, if any … due to the mountains of the RIV/SBD/SD areas blocking the moisture so you’ve been painted in the below/record below precipitation for this week.



When looking at the much above average precipitation one has to then look at the flood risks.  Flood risks clearly shows that while it is above average in precipitation, flood risk is nil (none) and that means that this will not be one of the storms that dents the drought … but rather a small and quick moving frontal zone impacting the area toward the weekend.

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