Within this article will tell you what type of pattern we are stuck in right now and what type of pattern looks likely for the rest of the storm season after the Winter Solstice hits in less than 10 days from now. There’s a near 100 percent chance (high) that the pattern favors low elevation snowfall so read on for details.
With the fires going on this Fall it is hard to believe that storms will ever come back to Southern California. However, with Newton’s second law of “For every action there is an opposite and equal reaction” we look back to the season we are currently about to end and see a warm, dry, desolate like planet within the fire zones… almost apocalyptic is what many in those fire areas have described the terrain and homes that have now become part of the Earth, where mother nature has taken back what is hers.
Between October and November we seem to hit a pattern that repeats itself through the season, be it stuck in a wet pattern or stuck in a dry pattern. It either repeats every couple or few weeks, as such with our offshore Santa Ana Wind conditions. This pattern is the Martin UJEAS Pattern. The Martin UJEAS, or Upper Jet Extended Analog System has been created in predicting long term events, even before the guess-casters on the news and in government offices can see it on their models. The Martin UJEAS is a pattern that repeats itself every 2-3 weeks and it’s been a work of mine since before 2000, just like naming our Pacific Storms … another credit to the work I do.
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As the Winter Solstice arrives the Sun will start to move higher in the sky thereafter and the days in the north will become longer. This warming up north will allow the jet stream to become ‘unstuck’ from the pattern it is frozen into and wildly start to move around like a snake … creating troughs and ridges. Where those troughs and ridges go will determine the type of actual Winter we will have. At the moment as the Solstice does hit and a bit after it … the ridge that was stuck over us and to the right should back to the west, allowing for arctic air to move down into Southern California. This type of pattern, similar to December 2008, and 1990, would bring a due north to south flow off our coast and with any storm system allowed to move through the jet stream … it would make it possible for cold arctic storms to hit, with lower snow levels.
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Such snow levels would be down to the valley areas in some zones of the forecast area, and most certainly on the passes and High Desert floor. There was a time in The 1970s and 1980s where Irvine saw falling snowfall … and in January 1949 where Los Angeles saw 8″ of snow. Heck just a few years ago Wildomar saw a lot of snow, of course famously predicted by yours truly. The very fact these happened, although rare, is a testament that it isn’t a matter of if snow will happen in those areas … but when.
So that is the next thing on the list right now. Awaiting the Sun to snap back northward with the Earth’s tilt and affect the jet stream.
There are indications that this arctic flow could go into Christmas … so Christmas could actually feel like Christmas this time.
MEMBERS: You will be getting updates and graphics in the member section as we near the pattern change.. so I know it’s been awhile since updates were made but this is only an inclement weather service, be it heatwaves, extreme cold, storms, fires, or Santa Ana Winds … Updates are coming.
Stay tuned to Southern California Weather Force for any additional updates
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