Get ready because Pacific Storm Osiris has sacrificed himself to alter the ridge in the Northeast Pacific so much that the very ridge that has given us a dry winter thus far is going to be destroyed and allow for jet stream dynamic storms to reach Southern California a couple times before the month is over. Read on for details …
In November 2017 I predicted a mid to late season for the storm pattern to finally kick into gear for our region … but first we had to endure the drier conditions. As we remained locked in the pattern with the ridge in the Northeast Pacific this pattern had to be broken and the only way to do it was to near Meteorological Spring where the sun would heat the northern latitude jet stream more and allow for it to start moving … because wind is the change in temperatures and this very motion would make the jet stream ‘unstuck’ from the dry weather position we’ve had and come into a stormier pattern, which looks to be prolonged.
So what happened here is the jet stream sent Osiris down far enough to snap off the main jet stream and knock the ridge out of place. Within the next week or so we will see those effects. Had Osiris not sacrificed a major event down here the ridge would still be intact and the storm would be the direct result to have no rain through the end of the month after it.
Still… this forecast was a super long range forecast and we have a long way to go in the season since my Preliminary March 2018 forecast numbers are coming in good so Miracle Marches do exist down here.
As far the rest of the forecast through Valentine’s Day … Santa Maria (Santa Barbara County) will have a small area of rain/thunderstorm activity later today but that’s about it for today … As we near Wednesday Osiris will open up and head to Baja and only provide San Diego County with the better dynamics … even so it does not look so good so the focus now is in the medium/long range with the sacrifice the storm did for us to alter the ridge out of place and begin the storm pattern we need
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NOTE: If you’re going into Phoenix or anywhere in Southern Arizona there will be flooding this week with Osiris as Arizona will take a much harder hit than Southern California with sub-tropical moisture
SCWF Micro-Climate Alert Changes Effective Immediately – 2018+ Read what it means as there are slight changes .. but won’t affect these types of articles.
Because of Facebook news-feed changes and removing ability to post on groups in my original profile saying it is spamming, website hits have gone down significantly. Effective immediately I no longer will provide micro-climate alerts to a free audience, but you will still be able to get these articles via the SCWF Website and Social Media Pages like you probably got this one from.
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I will try this for a further two years. I will shut the project down finalizing that it really never helped many people and that I wasted my time building this if I don’t see progress in the member-base. Custom forecasts take a lot of work and I’m not getting any younger…