At times I will release member only posts for members only. These posts are posts I am not ready to go public with, and give you an idea on something similar to a backstage pass into what I am thinking at the time. This is one of them so read on …
The current pattern is showing up as a slight change to just a few days back. Understandable to me since the January 2018 forecast I released over 10 days ago suggested that Downtown Los Angeles would see 1-3″ of rainfall and the month would still be below normal. At the current time there is a 5-10% chance Los Angeles sees 1″ of rain or higher before the month is over and 25% chance in the mudslide zones in SBA/VT County.
If you have been following the member section precipitation maps you are noticing that the bottom zoom-able map has been weakening with each of my model runs each day. This weakening was not seen before Major Pacific Storm Nikita and thus this looks like the pattern is starting to change in the longer range to less rainfall in our region … more on the lines of my original January 2018 forecast – Click here to view that
This change will allow two chances in the foreseeable future of rain, one weaker on Friday the next sometime next week.
Wind products will be needed as early as Wednesday in terms of micro-climate alerts. Snow forecasts will be updated as we get closer to the event … with Kern County’s Mountains seeing most of the precipitation, some of that being snowfall. Gorman Pass is being monitored right now as well as many mountain roads due to the black ice build up that will happen after Friday’s cold front.