Issued Zones:  Kern County Mountains / Gorman … Kern Valleys (Central/East) …

Site:  Southern California Weather Force has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch effective now through the evening …

Date:  5/25/19 at 11:00am PT

Forecast: An impulse that caused severe thunderstorms in Northern California last night will move silently through the region this later morning as it already is.  Instability is already getting up there in the watch area and with the arrival of the marginal upper divergence profiles, do expect thunderstorms to form. 

The upper divergence profile is not too strong, however, the initial lifting against the Kern County Mountains on the west and northern parts, including the upsloping procedure for the Eastern Kern Valleys, including Bakersfield and Arvin, is very strong …  and this will overcome the need for stronger upper divergence. 

Storms popping today may breach the 30,000 FT top level and thus larger hail will be possible along with gusty winds with them. 

Instability profiles coupled with Mid-level LRs do suggest some of you will report large hail.  I will have the radar up so if you are reading these from your micro-climate groups, it’ll be up by noon.

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Forecaster: KM