October 16, 2015 at 10:23 am

Thunderstorm Watch


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Issued Zones:  SBA/VT/LA/SBD/RIV/SD Mountains … The Inland Empire … Metro High Desert … Antelope Valley … Kern Desert and Southern Valley surrounding Taft … Pine Mountain Club …

Site:  SouthernCaliforniaWeatherForce.com has issued a Thunderstorm Watch effective now …

Date:  10/16/15 at 11:20am PT

Forecast: Not much upper divergence today so we’re looking at development in the convergence zones in the Inland Empire … and development in the mountain zones in this watch … pushing northward off them … A typical ‘monsoonal’ type pattern today.

Given this, thunderstorms are likely in most of the areas within the watch.  Remember as stated below the watch is for within you or 10 miles from you in-case someone is close due to lightning.

Hot spots will be the Eastern Inland Empire and Mountain zones … with push offs into the desert areas and Southern Kern Valleys.  Storms may or may not make it to the Western Inland Empire or Central/Northern Kern Valleys and if they do it’ll be isolated.  Instability parameters today tell me these storms will be more severe in the Barstow area if they form up there from outflow … but the most severity will lie in the Eastern Inland Empire along the Elsinore Convergence Zone near Perris/Hemet and all those nominal spots.   Given these parameters, isolated severe thunderstorm cells will be possible today in most areas of the watch … Stronger instability within the colder core in the area would promote larger hail in the strongest cells.

Flooding is also likely … and landspout tornadoes may also form …

10 mile rule:  These alerts issued on this site means that within your zone and 10 miles from you will see the event forecast for.  You may or may not see the event but it means you are in the zone or 10 miles from where someone will.

Forecaster: KM

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