June 23, 2016 at 12:00 pm

Earthquake Fault Stress Monitoring Forecast System Developed; Public Viewing Soon


062316aEarthquakes are a big thing here in Southern California … but ever since the 1994 Northridge Earthquake … things seem to have shutdown … but they will start back up again and an  experimental prediction tool for the next poppers has been produced for the people so read on for details.  More stress indicates where the next quake may happen due to the target quake’s stress shift.  Less stress is where it stabilizes with less chances of one from the target quake.


The mapping tool will only be active when a near 4.0 or larger hits the Southern California area.  When earthquakes happen they shift energy into certain areas of the forecast area’s fault systems.  For example … the mapping tool predicted the 3.9 Salton Sea area by location after the earlier quake on the San Jacinto Fault.  Now, using that … the stress from the 3.9 magnitude quake has shifted stress (red shade) into the Coachella Valley area.

However … the large San Jacinto Fault Earthquake we had earlier in the month did shift the stress into the metro Inland Empire, Los Angeles, and Orange County areas so the Elsinore Fault area, North San Jacinto Fault, Corona Fault, Cucamonga Fault, and Chino/Whittier Fault systems would be starting up next.

The basic idea is to figure out what types of faults create the stress to other faults and/or magnitude needed for distance in the region.

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