The storm pattern is about to start across California and all burn areas need to take note of this forecast as this was long range and now it is medium range, with expectancy from the previous article still after November 19th, surrounding the Thanksgiving Holiday time-period so read on for those details …
The Fall 2018 forecast (Click Here To Read Article) released in September is on track with October just above average and the strongest Santa Ana Winds being November, along with storm events. This next storm pattern will push November rainfall values through the 1″ mark in Downtown Los Angeles, where precipitation averages are officially documented.
What I am still seeing from the previous article (Click Here To Read Article) is a break between the Santa Ana Wind Pattern and November 19th. Sometime between November 19th and November 24th we will have the storm pattern finally hit Southern California. This pattern thus far in my long range numbers between 50 of my algorithms numbers is consistent with past long range storm pattern predictions, which ended up happening as advertised. These systems do look like they will provide a good amount of rainfall for the month of November. The average precipitation forecast in my November forecast was 0.5 to 1.5″ of rainfall for Downtown Los Angeles. Of course there will be more in the southern slopes of the mountains.
All burn areas across California will be affected by this pattern and if you are in those areas you need to continue to monitor Southern California Weather Force in the near future for further updates.
It is very possible this pattern will stick around through the beginning of December as well. We’re just getting started with El Nino this season …
Premium Members: The member section (Click Here) will have daily updates to the rainfall average model. Right now it looks like it is increasing. During the storm pattern premium members will get live updates, micro-climate alerts, snow forecasts, rain forecasts, flood risk forecasts, wind forecasts, thunderstorm forecasts … the works … SCWF will be CLOSED on Thanksgiving Day, but if a storm is in the area all the forecasts will be updated. The live update center will not be active then. IF you are not a member, consider it today …
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