The next name after Peter on the 2018-2019 Southern California Weather Force list is QUINTIN. With the combo formula of wind, rain intensity, and thunderstorm type, the system will end up being a category four overall on my 1-6 scale, which makes it a Major Pacific Storm. Due in overnight into Thursday, get your details on QUINTIN by reading on.
The strongest system of Fall thus far in terms of a true frontal zone, Major Pacific Storm QUINTIN is a category four and streaming directly toward the forecast area. The main dynamics will overspread the entire area tonight and into Thursday. The SCWF Flood Watch is in full force as rainfall in a short period of time exceeds danger levels. ALL burn areas of the last two years need to be on high alert, including the recent ones. This includes every single burn area in Southern California. Heavy rainfall and gusty winds will be expected tonight into Thursday morning.
The timing of the frontal zone for the Vandenberg and SLO areas will be 8pm tonight, Santa Barbara by midnight, Los Angeles, Orange, The Inland Empire, and San Diego by Thursday morning. Another round later Thursday has more thunderstorm potential with it so the watch continues.. and may need to be upgraded to a thunderstorm product before that hits.
MEMBERS, check out the member section for the FLOOD RISK MODEL for your area for this event … it has been updated …
In addition to the front, wind gusts will exceed advisory level along it with the heavier rainfall. It may look like a tropical storm out there with this system. Thus.. because of this.. downed powerlines and/or trees will be possible so take note.
The Southern California Weather Force Wind Advisory is also in effect for all desert locations today through Thursday night. Some areas along the eastern mountain slopes may bring over 65+ mph wind gusts.
The snow level will be higher than most mountain city/resort areas through Thursday morning.. however that secondary front with the convection and thunderstorms would lower that level to 6,000 FT, where accumulating snow is likely there. Winter products will be needed by Thursday morning. It will not go lower than that.. but some areas may have high accumulations of snowfall, especially the LA/SBD/RIV Mountains at above that level later Thursday afternoon/evening…
The convection on Thursday for some metro areas does have a tiny bit of low level shear and thus IF that continues to be the case.. funnel clouds and/or small brief tornadoes would be possible. As always..stay tuned to Southern California Weather Force for the latest updates … and an article will go out with micro-climate alerts by Thursday morning before the activity hits the metros.
Hitting the waves? Stay safe.. as the SCWF Marine Weather Warning is in effect for high waves and waterspouts.
Another quit hitting front hits on Saturday as the Martin Storm Pattern Continues, with QUINTIN pushing Downtown Los Angeles above average for the year so far!
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