Issued Zones:  Western Texas …

Site: National Weather Force has issued a Tornado Advisory effective this afternoon and evening …

Date:  5/5/19 at 12:10pm PT

Forecast: A sharp but potent area of upper divergence will move through Western Texas today across the advisory area.  The advisory zone does extend into Lubbock, however, at the surface, convergence is maximized more to the south in a west to east orientation along the central latitude of the tornado advisory zone. 

Southeast winds will be on the increase through the later afternoon and into some of the early evening hours and this, with strong instability, will bring the risk of supercells, including tornadoes. 

Storm motion will be primarily to the east with some southeast movement.  The red-shaded zone above is the most probable zone and the image below this writing is the custom in-house NWF Tornado Forecast Model with computers generated watch zones …  Storm chasers can enjoy lunch in Lubbock and then head southeast to Post, TX and chase from there.  US-380 is going to be the highway to be on today.

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Forecaster: KM