Alright welcome to Southern California Weather Force. First off I’ll dig into the weekend. Weekend has a ridge building in ahead of a monsoonal flow. This ridge will push inland temperatures to over 100 degrees, seeing Riverside at 105 or higher given heat index from humidity as well. So yes, prepare for it to get hotter with the coming pattern.
NOTE: If you have renewed your discount membership for the 2019-2010 season, skip this message. If you have not, Click Here To Renew. This will be your last e-mailed article/alert from the 2018-2019 season as effective now the season will start on September 1st every year. Click Here To Renew Under The Discount.
Well, my preliminary estimations are still that we will have a neutral season. That means neither El Nino or La Nina. Last season we had a Moderate El Nino. We should be sitting at neither and this does create very interesting scenarios that I am following. Season’s that typically were neutral had much better predictable storm events and some of these had low elevation snow at that. So this season in my preliminary does look like it will be a mixed bag of events from severe thunderstorms, lightning events, flooding, good mountain snow, and even low elevation snow events. Last season my forecast called for warmer and wetter than average. This was correct as we were above normal for rainfall and above normal in temperatures with that moderate El Nino. Given what I see, I may finalize this by October 15th or 25th with both a cold and warm season and a rainy one.
A volcano in Russia has erupted within the last week. This volcano has pushed a gas plume up to 70,000 FT. This type of pattern is what I said controls our weather patterns, not humans. SO2, or Sulfur Dioxide within the upper levels does reflect sun-rays back out into space and thus cooling things down and even altering the upper level jet stream.
Wind is the change in temperatures, and with that change in the Polar Jet Stream this next season, with the volcano being directly under it on the eruption now, we will see some very interesting patterns this Fall.
Starting with September. This next month will have what I call a shooting gallery effect. The shooting gallery effect is where our state of California has a trough to the west in the Pacific Ocean and a number of hurricanes come close to the region and the moisture and dynamics would get sucked into the region and provide the needed dynamics for shower and thunderstorm activity. I see this happening even as far north as Sacramento, Redding, Crescent City, and the San Francisco Bay area, in addition to our region of Southern California and east to Las Vegas and all of Arizona. It’ll be directly opposite of the month of August we have experienced, which usually has most of our monsoon activity. We are behind at least a month in nominal weather patterns.
So there we go, still looking at an interesting month ahead along with a positive thrown into the system, the volcanic eruption this month. Neither La Nina or El Nino is forecast from my future numbers so stay tuned to Southern California Weather Force.
As always, stay tuned to official forecasts from Southern California Weather Force for updates …
OPTIONAL: Southern California Weather Force main page now has models, agendas, the alert map, and other things updated during storm events. You can bookmark the main site and check back during an event for the latest updates.
Click here to view the main page
EMAIL ALERTS AND ASK THE WEATHER OFFICE A QUESTION: It pays for itself in one storm system. A very affordable e-mail alert system that only gives you SCWF weather alerts in YOUR micro-climate area. Also, you can ask the weather office a question at any time if you get that add-on.
Click here to join
MICRO-CLIMATE ALERT FACEBOOK GROUPS: Find yours today!
Click here to join
FACEBOOK PAGES TO JOIN!
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WEATHER FORCE MAIN: Southern California Weather Force Office Main Page
BEHIND THE SCENES FORECASTS/UPDATE PAGE: Southern California Weather Force Meteorologist Page
FOR THE CALIFORNIA FAULT STRESS MODEL PAGE: For SCWF official updates to the California Fault Stress Model and more!
“PONDER THIS” SCIENCE ADVENTURE SHOW: A science adventure show developed here at Southern California Weather Force that is a fun ride!
INSTAGRAM AND TWITTER ACCOUNTS TO JOIN!
Instagram – https://www.instagram.com/socalweatherforce/
Twitter – https://twitter.com/SCweatherforce