Pacific Storm Fellis; Category Three Into San Diego County On Wednesday Just Before Noon

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As stated in yesterday’s article, the coming system tomorrow (Wednesday) will impact San Diego County at the center of the highest dynamics.  Treating such like a hurricane, the dynamics at the center will be in the corner of the forecast area, largely leaving areas north and west of Los Angeles County out of it.  At the center of the landfall location, Fellis will have heavy rain and thunderstorms, some capable of hail, gusty winds, and even waterspouts to landfalling small tornadoes so read on for details …

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Pacific Storm Fellis is official now and is a cutoff type pattern that will quickly move over Southern California on Wednesday.  Her center will move over Los Angeles County, but the main dynamics will be south and east of there.  So if you are in Los Angeles County do not expect much and if in Ventura don’t expect anything at all really.  Areas of the highest impact rate will be San Diego County and south Orange County.  There is where we will have the southerly flow along the curvature of the coast to produce the needed low-level lifting for heavy rainfall and thunderstorm activity.  Because of this, Fellis is a category three out of six system, generally a moderate and typical system into Southern California that we see many times a season.

The map included in this article outlines the areas where the dynamics will be.  As you can see, Fellis’ category three will ONLY BE in the red areas and nowhere else.  You can basically just say category one in the weaker areas and nothing much more.  I say this because I don’t want or need people in the low impact zones saying “Where is the storm” on my Facebook pages.  It gets rather annoying because the dynamics say low for you to begin with.  If you are in the red-zone and nothing happens then by all means move to say that, but don’t if you are in the low-risk zones.  My reply will be friendly but it won’t be eager.

As for the mountains, areas around the San Bernardino, Riverside, and San Diego Mountains will have the most snowfall with it, a snow-level of around 5,000 FT.  This is not a mountain pass affecting system.

Snow, rain, wind models will be available early Wednesday morning for SCWF supporters in the member section.  They also will be available in image zone form in the final forecast article.  I’ll be putting it together in the morning and have it to everyone sometime a couple of hours before the system hits the area.  If you are in San Diego County especially you should pay attention to that one.

Well, that is it, see you Wednesday morning for the final update suite of images …


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