A strong Pacific Jet Stream will dip into the Southwestern United States this weekend bringing strong winds to the mountain and desert regions under strong onshore flow so read on for details and see the zoom in wind model images.
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SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WEATHER FORCE MAIN:
A complicated atmospheric setup is about to hit the region starting this weekend. The easiest thing by far to forecast ahead of time is the wind and thus the mountain and desert regions have been given a wind watch out ahead of the system. The SCWF Wind models are below this write-up.
Precipitation will accompany the system at one point, but as I stated this is a complicated forecast so it will depend on the ultimate strength of the onshore flow. Inside Sliders like this typically bring strong southwest to northeast winds at the surface and low-levels. This tends to favor areas around OC, IE, San Diego, and Kern Mountains for precipitation while leaving Santa Barbara, Ventura, most of Los Angeles, San Luis Obispo, and Imperial Valley out of the precipitation chances.
Such patterns will be complicated this far out so for now I will go with just the wind forecast and slowly introduce the precipitation forecast as we near the weekend.
Below is the SCWF Wind Model.
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VALID WEEKEND OF OCTOBER 22, 2022
Raiden Storm Wind Gust Intensity Scale –
8. Extensive widespread damage.
7. Trees are broken or uprooted, building damage is considerable. – High Profile Vehicle Roll-Over CERTAIN.
6. SOME Trees are broken or uprooted, building damage is possible. – High Profile Vehicle Roll-Over Likely, Do NOT recommend Traveling in this zone. This zone also is the starting zone where trees and powerlines will fall and damage cars and even kill people near or in them!
5. Slight damage occurs to buildings, shingles are blown off of roofs. HIGH WIND WARNING CRITERIA – High Profile Vehicle Roll-Over Possible if weight is not corrected.
4. Twigs and small branches are broken from trees, walking is difficult.
3. Large trees sway, becoming difficult to walk. POWER SHUTDOWN THRESHOLD DURING FIRE WEATHER / WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA
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