Southern California Weather Force has issued an El Nino Advisory, which replaces the official El Nino Watch issued a month ago, effective now as El Nino Conditions have developed in the Equatorial Pacific.

A moderate La Nina has faded over the last few months, with a replacement of warm water at the Equatorial Pacific.  These conditions will continue to warm as we move through the rest of Summer.

The Southern California Weather Force El Nino and La Nina model (pictured within this article) clearly shows an incline from Neutral to a Moderate El Nino by Summer 2023, owning toward the Strong El Nino category by Fall 2023, just on time for the next storm pattern into California.

You can go to this link for the previous issued El Nino Watch – https://www.southerncaliforniaweatherforce.com/2023/04/13/el-nino-watch-issued-developing-warm-water-conditions-fast-developing-at-the-equator-with-strong-el-nino-projected/

Southern California Weather Force long range El Nino and La Nina models have been extremely accurate in the past.  There is no doubt this will be an Full El Nino.

For this last season, the 2022-2023 storm season, all sectors of the weather industry said the La Nina conditions would bring drier than normal conditions for the Southwestern United States.  My projection was the only one that put us above average in precipitation and below average in temperatures – Click here to read that archive – https://www.southerncaliforniaweatherforce.com/2022/10/23/breaking-scwf-2022-2023-seasonal-weather-forecast-released-not-a-normal-la-nina/

Given this, it is always important to be skeptical of long-range forecasts as they are very difficult.  Planning these takes a lot of patience.

Stay tuned for additional information over the months, and the final alert will be the official El Nino Warning, which will go out in a few months.