Southern California Weather Force has issued a La Nina Advisory, the second in the step to a warning as a developing La Nina has been detected.
Latest sea surface temperature maps show fast declining numbers, which is indicating that El Nino is officially over and that we will skip straight into a La Nina at least in the next month or so. This fast decline does indicate the peak of the next one should be strong, possibly stronger than the 2022-2023 season.
For the Summer of 2024, I am looking at a season similar to 2010, 1988, or 1973. Those all had average to even dry monsoon seasons. May gray will continue for Southern California, even cooler temperatures as we move through the rest of the month with a number of cutoff systems passing overhead, but not much in the way of precipitation is expected from them other than nominal marine layer drizzle. Indications are that June Gloom will also be above normal this year for more marine layer coverage.
While La Nina to many does mean drier conditions, we have seen during the 2010-2011 and 2022-2023 season this not be the case. As stated in my recent published papers and articles, we have entered a 30-year cycle within the last few years. That means on average, over the next 25 years we will be seeing average to above average seasons, despite weak El Ninos or strong La Ninas. We already have seen an upswing over the last few years, so if this next La Nina follows the 2010-2011 and 2022-2023 strong La Nina path, we would yet again have a chance at higher-than-normal rainfall totals for the coming season.
Latest Southern California Weather Force models are showing a huge dip in the sea surface temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific, which in some cases shows a possibly record-breaking La Nina value for the coming season.
Should these numbers continue, by at least August or September, I will be issuing the La Nina Warning.
– Raiden Storm –
https://www.southerncaliforniaweatherforce.com
Master General Meteorologist – is a consulting meteorologist for over 50 companies, including energy, agriculture, aviation, marine, leisure, and many more areas. He has certs from Mississippi State for broadcast met and Penn State forecasting certs MET 101, 241, 341 and 361 as a meteorologist, but before then was completely self-taught, barely learning a thing from the schools that he did not already know.
Both short and long-range is very important to know in those jobs so you can bet on accuracy here. He is versed in fields like Western USA, Tornadoes, Floods, Hurricanes, High Winds, Fire Behavior, Snow and Blizzards, Short Range, Long Range, Seasonal, and Life-Threatening decisions with over 25 years’ experience, out forecasting all weather services available today with lead-time and precision, which makes him a focus of ridicule and envy.
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