As the January 2019 forecast stated back at the beginning of this month (Fig A), we would have a break and then another storm pattern would emerge by end month or the first week of February. The chances are rising so read on for details.
We are in the first of the Santa Ana Wind Events to close this month off. This event is relatively moderate with a lack of good upper support, however some areas near the foothills/passes are experiencing stronger winds..as is always the case in a Santa Ana Wind pattern. The pattern will wan a bit in a day or so but the ridge placement through at least near the end of the month will remain tight and bring storm systems up and around California in a northwest flow, similar to what happened in the 2015-2016 El Nino and what is most common for our patterns.
As this is happening we will have systems off to the east and the colder air in the Great Basin will bring thermal support. This, with tightening surface gradients will make it likely for a couple more Santa Ana Wind Events between now and January 30th. The most probably timing being this weekend and early this next week.
The ridge does breakdown and move to just south of Arizona. This would allow the western end of the dome of high pressure to dip into a trough of low pressure once again west of California and send the storm pattern back into the state, including down here in Southern California for yet another round of impulses to come in. The next storm system is Pacific Storm Ursula and once that is seen she will officially be named. Aptly named after a ‘sea witch’ … will the sea get angry? Stay tuned to Southern California Weather Force for official forecast details as the system nears. Confidence in storm pattern returning is 60% this far out with rising confidence in a few days.
Premium members will be able to follow the progress of the developing pattern daily starting Thursday …
End
NOTE: Premium members. If you are signed up, your login is your e-mail address and the username and password as the password. You can change the password
Ongoing Ad – The Southern California Weather Force has a member section with LIVE UPDATES FOR EVENTS and rain, wind, thunder, tornado etc models that are personally updated by me with each Santa Ana Wind or storm event. You also can get e-mailed alerts via a slew of micro-climates. Check the member section for details on how you can support this service.. along with getting service in return… Click Here To Join or Upgrade Via The Member Section
Please remember if upgrading to CANCEL YOUR PAYPAL PAYMENTS. Login and cancel the reoccurring payments.
The Southern California Weather Force has different Facebook groups that you can ask for notifications from in order to get the latest posts affecting those regions. If that area is talked about in an article, alert, and such .. it’ll be posted there and you can be notified.
Comments are usually DISABLED as we do like to keep this as an information giving group and replies from others in the notification may annoy some.
Find your micro-climate group here – https://www.southerncaliforniaweatherforce.com/scwf-weather-alert-facebook-groups-by-region/
EMAIL ALERTS? Many micro-climate zones to choose from to get custom alerts from thunderstorm, wind, flood, surf, heat, cold, storm, and much more with the premium e-mail alert system, the most advanced zone alert system in Southern California – Click Here To Join!
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ONLY: if it does not say “Liked” LIKE The Page Below and join thousands of informed weather forecast viewers in our region for more of the updates! noticeable
BEHIND THE SCENES FORECASTS/UPDATE PAGE: if it does not say “Liked” LIKE The Page Below and join thousands of informed weather forecast viewers in our region for more of the updates! noticeable